Bayes' theorem is a statistical formula used to calculate conditional probability. Learn how it works, how to calculate it ...

Cardi B was part of Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl halftime show. What she did exactly, well, that turned into a perplexing question for two major prediction markets.

The moon rises as a man sits atop a pile of rubble it al-Bureij refugee camp in central Gaza Strip on November 15, 2024, amid ongoing hostilities in Gaza. © 2024 ...

After major disasters, public debate often treats them as unexpected or unprecedented. This reaction is not necessarily about the absence of warnings. It reflects how societies process shock—and how ...