FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

Jun 6, 2014 · Six-and-a-half years after the Great Recession began — and five years after it officially ended — the U.S. has finally surpassed its precrisis employment peak…

Nov 4, 2010 · Every election cycle has its winners and losers: not just the among the candidates, but also the pollsters. On Tuesday, polls conducted by the firm Rasmussen Re…

Mar 17, 2014 · One of the ways I was able to look smart over the past six years, during which time I spent a lot of effort on political forecasting, was by betting on the favo…

Apr 4, 2014 · The rankings compared teams within each league. But we can also make cross-sport comparisons. What’s the most popular North American professional team in any sport, as judged by …

Jun 5, 2014 · Seven years ago, I moved to Wicker Park, Chicago. The neighborhood, once heavily Hispanic, was being inundated by hipsters and yuppies, and its taquerias, some …

Jun 29, 2016 · We’ve just launched FiveThirtyEight’s 2016 general election forecast, which projects how the 538 Electoral College votes could break down in the presidential el…

Jul 30, 2020 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

Sep 28, 2020 · President Trump’s third nominee to the Supreme Court is Amy Coney Barrett. The nomination process is moving ahead at warp speed, and the court is that much closer to having a 6-3 …

Feb 18, 2015 · What makes for an exciting game? Sensational plays, sure. Some lead changes, absolutely. But there’s also a feeling you get when watching one — that the unexpe…